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Aon Risk Reward Challenge

The Aon Risk Reward Challenge is a unique, season-long competition across the PGA TOUR and LPGA that highlights the game’s best players as they navigate some of the most strategically challenging holes on tour.

Players will take their best two scores from each Aon Risk Reward Challenge hole, with the winners having the best average score to par at the end of the regular season.

The winner from both the PGA TOUR and the LPGA will take home the Aon trophy and an equal $1Million prize.

Previous winners: Carlota Ciganda (2019), Hannah Green (2021), and Minjee Lee (2022)

AON Risk Reward Challenge

Last Updated 06-05, 2023
Hae Ran Ryu Republic of Korea
Hae Ran
Ryu
Rank This Week
1
Avg To Par
-1.083
Rank This Week Name Avg To Par
2 United States
Nelly Korda
 		-0.938
2 Republic of Korea
Hye-Jin Choi
 		-0.938
4 Thailand
Atthaya Thitikul
 		-0.929
4 Sweden
Frida Kinhult
 		-0.929
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AON Risk Reward Challenge Holes

Jan 19 - 22, 2023

Hilton Grand Vacations Tournament of Champions

Feb 23 - 26, 2023

Honda LPGA Thailand

Mar 2 - 5, 2023

HSBC Women's World Championship

Mar 23 - 26, 2023

LPGA Drive On Championship

Mar 30 - 2, 2023

DIO Implant LA Open

Apr 12 - 15, 2023

LOTTE Championship presented by Hoakalei

Apr 20 - 23, 2023

The Chevron Championship

Apr 27 - 30, 2023

JM Eagle LA Championship presented by Plastpro

May 11 - 14, 2023

Cognizant Founders Cup

Jun 1 - 4, 2023

Mizuho Americas Open

Jun 9 - 11, 2023

ShopRite LPGA Classic Presented by Acer

Jun 15 - 18, 2023

Meijer LPGA Classic for Simply Give

Jun 22 - 25, 2023

KPMG Women's PGA Championship

Jul 13 - 16, 2023

Dana Open

Jul 27 - 30, 2023

The Amundi Evian Championship

Aug 3 - 6, 2023

Trust Golf Women's Scottish Open

Aug 10 - 13, 2023

AIG Women's Open

Aug 24 - 27, 2023

CPKC Women's Open

Aug 31 - 3, 2023

Portland Classic

Sep 7 - 10, 2023

Kroger Queen City Championship presented by P&G

Sep 29 - 1, 2023

Walmart NW Arkansas Championship Presented by P&G

Oct 5 - 8, 2023

The Ascendant LPGA benefiting Volunteers of America

Oct 19 - 22, 2023

BMW Ladies Championship

Nov 2 - 5, 2023

TOTO Japan Classic

Nov 9 - 12, 2023

The ANNIKA driven by Gainbridge at Pelican

Jan 19 - 22, 2023

Hilton Grand Vacations Tournament of Champions

Jan 19 - 22, 2023

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Calculated Risk
Safety Zone
Risk Zone
Hole 15
Par 5
Yardage 518/441
  • About the Hole
  • Key Decisions
  • Insight

About the Hole

Hilton Grand Vacations Tournament of Champions About the Hole

While this hole has yielded a birdie-or-better more than 40% of the time when playing just over 500 yards, things get really interesting when the tees are pushed up. The forward tee shortens this hole by 77 yards and is expected to improve scoring on this par 5 by nearly half-a-stroke.

Key Decisions

Hilton Grand Vacations Tournament of Champions Key Decisions

Being the last par-5 on the back-nine, the 15th hole is a scoring chance for this week’s field. Players must decide whether the location of their drive has given them a good enough opportunity to go for the green and take advantage of this reachable par 5.

Insight

Hilton Grand Vacations Tournament of Champions Aon Insight

Shifting the tee by 77 yards increases a player’s likelihood of going for the green in two by more than 48%, with a more than 40% increase in the number of players that manage to find the putting surface with their second shot. This increase in players going for green due to a shorter approach distance leads to an expected reduction in scoring average of 0.44 strokes.

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Feb 23 - 26, 2023

Honda LPGA Thailand

Feb 23 - 26, 2023

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Calculated Risk
Safety Zone
Risk Zone
Hole 15
Par 4
Yardage 285.32
Scoring Avg. 3.66
  • About the Hole
  • Key Decisions
  • Insight

About the Hole

Honda LPGA Thailand About the Hole

The 15th at Siam Country Club is a par-4 that can play as short as 265 yards when the front tee is used. Power is valued significantly here: the 15th hole places a greater value on extra length off the tee than any other hole on the course.

Key Decisions

Honda LPGA Thailand Key Decision

The key decision players face on the 15th hole is whether to lay up short of the water or try and drive the green. A tree in the middle of the fairway tests players’ execution with their lay-up, while water and greenside bunkers challenge players who hit driver.

Insight

Honda LPGA Thailand Insight

Over half the field went for the green off the tee in 2022 (54%), which is the highest percentage of any par 4 on the LPGA Tour last season.

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Mar 2 - 5, 2023

HSBC Women's World Championship

Mar 2 - 5, 2023

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Calculated Risk
Safety Zone
Risk Zone
Hole 13
Par 5
Yardage 512
Scoring Avg. 4.59
  • About the Hole
  • Key Decisions
  • Insight

About the Hole

HSBC Women’s World Championship About the Hole

The par-5, 13th hole at Sentosa Golf Club is a scoreable par-5 that players will try and take advantage of to keep up with the rest of the field. Players must navigate around the bunkers that line the fairway on both sides to give themselves a chance to reach the green in two shots.

Key Decisions

HSBC Women’s World Championship Key Decisions

The key decision for players is whether to go for the green with their second shot or lay-up and try and get up and down. A drive in the right half of the fairway will give players the best angle into this dogleg left, but most players will have to hit a wood to the right-hand side of the green to have a change of reaching.

Insight

HSBC Women’s World Championship Insight

On the tee shot, power is rewarded far more than accuracy here: 63% of the field who found the short grass off the tee in 2022 gained almost zero strokes on the players who missed. Meanwhile, an extra 25 yards off the tee was worth one-tenth of a stroke on the field. Jin Young Ko played the hole in 3-under par on her way to victory.

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Mar 23 - 26, 2023

LPGA Drive On Championship

Mar 23 - 26, 2023

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Calculated Risk
Safety Zone
Risk Zone
Hole 18
Par 5
Yardage 513/461
  • About the Hole
  • Key Decisions
  • Insight

About the Hole

About the LPGA Drive On Championship

The par-5, 18th hole at Superstition Mountain Golf and Country Club presents a good opportunity at birdie. Even with water and bunkers protecting the green, expect plenty of red numbers this week on the closing hole.

Key Decisions

LPGA Drive On Championship Key Decisions

Finding the fairway with a drive from the front tee provides players with a clear green light on the decision to go for the green in two. Those who hit an accurate tee shot with the forward tees in play are expected to go for the green 92% of the time.

Insight

LPGA Drive On Championship Insight

From the back tees, players are expected to go for the green 47% of the time. That number jumps to 84% with the front tee in play – the expected scoring average dipping to 4.39.

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Mar 30 - 2, 2023

DIO Implant LA Open

Mar 30 - 2, 2023

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Calculated Risk
Safety Zone
Risk Zone
Hole 16
Par 5
Yardage 536/499
  • About the Hole
  • Key Decisions
  • Insight

About the Hole

About the DIO Implant LA Open

The 16th hole at Palos Verdes provides one final good scoring opportunity before the difficult closing two holes. Players are reward for going for the green in two, even if their approach does not find the putting surface.

Key Decisions

DIO Implant LA Open Key Decisions

The key decision for players comes down to whether they go for the green or lay-up with their second shot. Last year, over 60% of the field laid up with their approach but lost over .15 strokes on the field with this approach.

Insight

DIO Implant LA Open Insight

In 2022, 36% of the field made birdie or better on the 16th hole. Last year, players who went for the green but found the greenside bunker gained two-tenths of a stroke on the competition.

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Apr 12 - 15, 2023

LOTTE Championship presented by Hoakalei

Apr 12 - 15, 2023

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Calculated Risk
Safety Zone
Risk Zone
Hole 11
Par 5
Yardage 511/462
  • About the Hole
  • Key Decisions
  • Insight

About the Hole

LOTTE Championship About the Hole

The 11th hole at Hoakalei Country Club should provide players with a birdie opportunity to start their back nine. Depending on the tee box selected, players will need to decide whether to play as a three-shot hole or try and reach the green in two. 

Key Decisions

LOTTE Championship Key Decisions

When playing the front tee location, finding the fairway should give players the opportunity for an eagle putt, while finding the rough or bunker will most likely result in a lay-up. When playing from the back tees, more of the field will need to focus and rely on their wedge game to make birdie.

Insight

LOTTE Championship Insight

The par-5, 11th hole at Hoakalei is one of the most difficult par-5’s on the LPGA Tour, with the field making birdie 18% of the time. When the back tees were in play last year in rounds one and two, the hole played over par. For the week, the few players who did decide to go for the green in two shots lost strokes on the field, while a lay-up into the fairway was two-tenths of a stroke better than going for it.

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Apr 20 - 23, 2023

The Chevron Championship

Apr 20 - 23, 2023

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Calculated Risk
Safety Zone
Risk Zone
Hole 18
Par 5
Yardage 525 | 491 yards
  • About the Hole
  • Key Decisions
  • Insight

About the Hole

The Chevron Championship About the Hole

 

A new hole to the Challenge in 2023, the final hole at the Club at Carlton Woods is expected to provide a lot of excitement as the players finish their rounds. Playing as a dogleg right, a carry over the greenside water presents an ominous visual for players who decide to go for the green.

Key Decisions

The Chevron Championship Key Decisions

 

Based on distance off the tee, players must decide whether to go for the green or lay up to the right. If deciding to go for the green, players will look to bail out to the right to avoid the water on the left.

Insight

The Chevron Championship Insight

 

N/A – New hole for 2023.

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Apr 27 - 30, 2023

JM Eagle LA Championship presented by Plastpro

Apr 27 - 30, 2023

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Calculated Risk
Safety Zone
Risk Zone
Hole 15
Par 5
Yardage 528
  • About the Hole
  • Key Decisions
  • Insight

About the Hole

About the JM Eagle LA Championship presented by Plastpro

The 15th hole at Wilshire Country Club can play as two completely different holes depending on the setup. Bunkers lining both sides of the fairway will limit the field’s chances to go for the green, but finding the fairway is critical to gaining strokes on the field.

Key Decisions

JM Eagle LA Championship presented by Plastpro Key Decisions

Players’ decision-making starts on the tee, with the 15th hole ranking as the highest value of driving distance of Wilshire’s three par 5s, with players gaining .13 strokes for every 25 yards of distance. When going for the green, 47% of the players successfully reached the putting surface.

Insight

JM Eagle LA Championship presented by Plastpro Insights

When playing the front tees, players go for the green 69% of the time, compared to 3% when playing the back tees.

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May 11 - 14, 2023

Cognizant Founders Cup

May 11 - 14, 2023

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Calculated Risk
Safety Zone
Risk Zone
Hole 12
Par 5
Yardage 474
  • About the Hole
  • Key Decisions
  • Insight

About the Hole

Cognizant Founders Cup About the Hole

Known as a great risk, reward hole, the par-5, 12th hole saw almost 60% of the field going for the green last year. With no bunkers or hazards off the tee, water looms in front of the green, forcing players to decide what to do with their second shot.

Key Decisions

Cognizant Founders Cup Key Decision

If the fairway is found, players will face an important decision whether to go for the green or lay up short of the water. Last year, 60% of the field went for the green, with 40% of the field who went for it successfully finding the green.

Insight

Cognizant Founders Cup Insight

Players that went for the green in 2022 gained .8 strokes over players that laid up. Last year’s challenge winner, Minjee Lee, gained 3.86 strokes on the 12 hole alone, on her way to winning the Cognizant Founders Cup and two eagles during the event.

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Jun 1 - 4, 2023

Mizuho Americas Open

Jun 1 - 4, 2023

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Calculated Risk
Safety Zone
Risk Zone
Hole 16
Par 4
Yardage 328 | 261 yards
  • About the Hole
  • Key Decisions
  • Insight

About the Hole

Mizuho Americas Open About the Hole

Playing as a drivable par-4 on the back nine, the 16th hole will test players’ decision-making off the tee. With bunkers and water on the right-hand side, this risk-reward hole will force players to execute regardless of strategy to try and secure a birdie on the back nine.

Key Decisions

Mizuho Americas Open Key Decision

Off the tee, players must decide whether to hit driver or lay up between the bunkers in the fairway. If deciding to go for the green, missing to the left will be critical to not losing a shot on this scorable back-nine hole.

Insight

Mizuho Americas Open Insight

N/A – New hole to the Challenge

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Jun 9 - 11, 2023

ShopRite LPGA Classic Presented by Acer

Jun 9 - 11, 2023

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Calculated Risk
Safety Zone
Risk Zone
Hole 18
Par 5
Yardage 507/487
  • About the Hole
  • Key Decisions
  • Insight

About the Hole

About the ShopRite LPGA Classic presented by Acer

The final hole at the ShopRite LPGA Classic presented by Acer requires accuracy off the tee, in order to take on the risk and go for the green in two.

Key Decisions

ShopRite LPGA Classic presented by Acer Key Decision

Based on where players stand on the leaderboard, they will need to decide on going for the green with their second shot or laying up to an ideal yardage to take advantage of this birdie opportunity.

Insight

ShopRite LPGA Classic presented by Acer Insight

Players who find the fairway are expected to go for the green at a clip of almost nine-times more with their second shot than those who find the rough or fairway bunker. In 2021, Celine Boutier’s birdie on the 18th hole increased her win probability by 31%.

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Jun 15 - 18, 2023

Meijer LPGA Classic for Simply Give

Jun 15 - 18, 2023

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Calculated Risk
Safety Zone
Risk Zone
Hole 14
Par 5
Yardage 479
  • About the Hole
  • Key Decisions
  • Insight

About the Hole

About the Meijer LPGA Classic for Simply Give

The 14th hole at the Meijer LPGA Classic for Simply Give is a good opportunity for the field to may birdie or he back nine, with an eagle opportunity if executed correctly. In 2021, Nelly Korda gained a total of 3.1 strokes over the field, improving her chances of winning the tournament by 24%.

Key Decisions

Meijer LPGA Classic for Simply Give Key Decision

A drive in the fairway should give players the opportunity to go for the green in two shots, but water on the left and trees short of the green may force some of the field to lay up and trust their wedge skills.

Insight

Meijer LPGA Classic for Simply Give Aon Insight

Playing about slightly shorter in 2021, the 14th hole at Blythefield Country Club yielded a birdie-or-better 48% of the time. Players are expected to be able to go for the green in two at a rate of more than 60%. Nelly Korda’s eagle in 2021 all but sealed her victory, increasing her win probability to 89%.

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Jun 22 - 25, 2023

KPMG Women's PGA Championship

Jun 22 - 25, 2023

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Calculated Risk
Safety Zone
Risk Zone
Hole 11
Par 5
Yardage 540
  • About the Hole
  • Key Decisions
  • Insight

About the Hole

KPMG Women's PGA Championship About the Hole 

No longer a straight away hole, the par 5, 11th provides players with an opportunity to go for the green in two, if they can take advantage with their tee shot.

Key Decisions

KPMG Women's PGA Championship Key Decision

Both fairways slope towards the creek separating the two fairways, requiring players to be precise with their first and second shot. If players decide to lay up, the pin position will ultimate dictate their ideal layup location, but a decision must be made about laying up on the left or right of the creek.

Insight

KPMG Women's PGA Championship Insight

Finding the right-hand side of the fairway is advantageous if trying to reach the green in two, giving players the ideal angle with their second shot. The back left portion of the green should be the most receptive location if players are looking to reach the green with their second shot.

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Jul 13 - 16, 2023

Dana Open

Jul 13 - 16, 2023

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Calculated Risk
Safety Zone
Risk Zone
Hole 17
Par 5
Yardage 517
Scoring Avg. 4.67
  • About the Hole
  • Key Decisions
  • Insight

About the Hole

About the Dana Open presented by Marathon

About the Hole – The 17th hole at Highland Meadows presents a significant scoring opportunity, especially for players who can use their length to their advantage. An uphill tee shot makes extra distance more valuable than the average LPGA Tour par-5.

Key Decisions

Dana Open presented by Marathon Key Decision

Key Decision – Depending on the player’s drive, multiple factors must be considered when deciding whether to go for the green in two. About 44% of the field went for the green in two during 2021, with 12% of those players finding the putting surface.

Insight

Dana Open presented by Marathon Insight

Aon Insight – Playing as an uphill tee shot, an extra 30 yards of length off the tee with the drive here will gain players nearly two-tenths of a stroke on the field. 2021 Champion Nasa Hataoka went for the green in all three rounds as she gained two strokes on the field during the week.

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Jul 27 - 30, 2023

The Amundi Evian Championship

Jul 27 - 30, 2023

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Calculated Risk
Safety Zone
Risk Zone
Hole 18
Par 5
Yardage 484
  • About the Hole
  • Key Decisions
  • Insight

About the Hole

About the Amundi Evian Championship

The final hole at Evian Resort Golf Club provides a great scoring opportunity for players who make better decisions from tee to green, while trying to close out their round. In 2021, Minjee Lee played this hole in 5-under par throughout the week, overcoming a 7-shot deficit for her first major championship.

Key Decisions

The Amundi Evian Championship Key Decision

Standing on the tee, players are aware of the ability to reach the green in two with an accurate drive. Based on their position, they must decide whether to go for the green, making sure they can clear the water in the front, or lay back and test their wedge game.

Insight

The Amundi Evian Championship Insight

In 2021, players who found the fairway were able to go for the green in two shots 91% of the time, compared to 33% of the time from players missing the fairway.

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Aug 3 - 6, 2023

Trust Golf Women's Scottish Open

Aug 3 - 6, 2023

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Calculated Risk
Safety Zone
Risk Zone
Hole 14
Par 5
Yardage 515 / 495
  • About the Hole
  • Key Decisions
  • Insight

About the Hole

About the Trust Golf Women's Scottish Open

Playing at over 500 yards, the 14th hole at Dundonald Links will test players decision making from tee to green. As is the case with most Scottish golf, weather can play a significant factor in scoring: the last time the Scottish Open was played at Dundonald, scoring improved by about three tenths of a stroke when the winds died down.

Key Decisions

Trust Golf Women's Scottish Open Key Decision

Weighing their position after their drive in the lie, players must decide whether to reach this green in two or lay up to their preferred distance. Compared to the average LPGA Tour drive distance, an additional 10 yards of distance off the tee is expected to increase a player’s likelihood to go for the green by 10%.

Insight

Trust Golf Women's Scottish Open Insight

With 250 yards remaining to the center of the green, 42% of the field is expected to go for the green with their second shot, with 9% of the field expected to reach the putting surface. Off the tee, finding the fairway is expected to triple a player’s success rate and lead to .2 and .4 strokes gained over those that find the rough or bunker.

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Aug 10 - 13, 2023

AIG Women's Open

Aug 10 - 13, 2023

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Calculated Risk
Safety Zone
Risk Zone
Hole 17
Par 5
Yardage 544/504
  • About the Hole
  • Key Decisions
  • Insight

About the Hole

About the AIG Women's Open

The 17th hole at Muirfield is expected to be a scoring opportunity for players, ultimately depending on their accuracy off the tee. Players should make sure to avoid the bunkers on the left hand side, where deep fairway bunkers are severely penalizing.

Key Decisions

AIG Women's Open Key Decision

The key decision on the final par-5 of the round is if players should go for the green with their second shot. Players are expected to go for the green 43% of the time from the fairway, but players chances will also be impacted by wind. Should players be in the fairway and have the opportunity to reach the green, look for lower ball flights, taking advantage of the firm conditions to gain distance.

Insight

AIG Women's Open Insight

Avoiding the left bunkers are paramount off the tee. A miss to the left eliminates any opportunity players will have to reach the green in two, and the nature of the bunkers challenges players with their second shot to find the fairway. The expected scoring average for a drive in the fairway vs a drive in the left bunkers is nearly four-tenths of a stroke.

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Aug 24 - 27, 2023

CPKC Women's Open

Aug 24 - 27, 2023

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Calculated Risk
Safety Zone
Risk Zone
Hole 18
Par 5
Yardage 526/498
  • About the Hole
  • Key Decisions
  • Insight

About the Hole

About the CP Women's Open

The closing hole at Ottawa Hunt & Golf Club is expected to challenge players differently depending on the set up decided on that day. Switching between two tee boxes, the change in distance will require precision with driver, with the preferred shot finding the left side of the fairway.

Key Decisions

CP Women's Open Key Decision

Coming down the final hole, less than 38% of the field is expected to go for the green in two when playing from the back tees. When the tees are moved up, that number is expected to jump almost 60%. With an elevated green and bunkers protecting both sides, most of the field will rely on their wedge game for a chance at birdie, whether it’s laying up to a full shot or attempting to get up and down around the green.

Insight

CP Women's Open Insight

Regardless of the set-up, finding the fairway off the tee is expected to be worth nearly two-tenths of a stroke vs finding the rough. Missing in the right rough is especially penalizing, with trees pinching in on the right hand side making even the second shot lay-up difficult.

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Aug 31 - 3, 2023

Portland Classic

Aug 31 - 3, 2023

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Calculated Risk
Safety Zone
Risk Zone
Hole 10
Par 5
Yardage 512
  • About the Hole
  • Key Decisions
  • Insight

About the Hole

About the AmazingCre Portland Classic

The 10th hole at Columbia Edgewater Country Club features a generous landing area off the tee, and while the tee shot may be welcoming, a critical decision awaits players on their approach

Key Decisions

AmazingCre Portland Classic Key Decision

With water protecting the front, right portion of the green, players will make a critical decision on whether or not to go for this green in two. 53% of players who find the fairway with their drive are expected to go for it, with just 29% going for the green when finding the round.

Insight

AmazingCre Portland Classic Insight

Missing this wide fairway is expected to cost players nearly two-tenths of a stroke. In the 2020 championship, winner Georgia Hall gained almost two full strokes on the field on this hole alone, carding birdies in rounds one and three.

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Sep 7 - 10, 2023

Kroger Queen City Championship presented by P&G

Sep 7 - 10, 2023

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Calculated Risk
Safety Zone
Risk Zone
Hole 12
Par 5
Yardage 495
  • About the Hole
  • Key Decisions
  • Insight

About the Hole

About the Kroger Queen City Championship presented by P&G

About the Hole – A new hole to the Aon Risk Reward Challenge in 2022, the 12th hole at Kenwood Country Club is a dogleg left par-5 with water protecting the front right portion of the green.

Key Decisions

Kroger Queen City Championship presented by P & G Key Decision

In order to take advantage of this par-5, players will need to find the fairway and look for a chance to reach this green in two. Players must evaluate various factors, lies, weather, and risk when deciding whether to go for this green.

Insight

Kroger Queen City Championship presented by P & G Insight

More than 70% of the players who find the fairway with their drive are expected to go for this green in two. This number drops to 43% when players find the round. For a more conservative approach, look for players to lay up short of the water, relying on their wedge skills for a birdie opportunity.

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Sep 29 - 1, 2023

Walmart NW Arkansas Championship Presented by P&G

Sep 29 - 1, 2023

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Calculated Risk
Safety Zone
Risk Zone
Hole 14
Par 5
Yardage 549/471
  • About the Hole
  • Key Decisions
  • Insight

About the Hole

About the Walmart NW Arkansas Championship Presented by P&G

The 14th hole at Pinnacle Country Club is a demanding par-5 that requires 3 quality shots to have a chance at birdie. Water in front of the green limit most of the field’s chance to reach the green in two, with the contours on the green making even short wedge shots difficult.

Key Decisions

Walmart NW Arkansas Championship Presented by P&G Key Decision

Players key decision on the 14th hole starts with what club to hit off the tee. In order to have a chance at birdie, players need to hit three quality shots, starting with finding the fairway with their tee shot. Some players will hit driver, while others will hit a three wood or long iron, committing to playing this hole in three shots.

Insight

Walmart NW Arkansas Championship Presented by P&G Insight

The Aon Insight tells us that while the fourteenth yielded an under-par scoring rate of only 29% in last year’s tournament, those who registered a GIR were a collective 117-under par on the hole versus those who missed the green, resulting in a collective score of 29-over.

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Oct 5 - 8, 2023

The Ascendant LPGA benefiting Volunteers of America

Oct 5 - 8, 2023

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Calculated Risk
Safety Zone
Risk Zone
Hole 17
Par 5
Yardage 517
  • About the Hole
  • Key Decisions
  • Insight

About the Hole

About the Volunteers of America Classic

The par-5, 17th hole at Old American Golf Club presents a clear scoring opportunity  coming down the back-nine. Off the tee, players must avoid missing left, with water flanking the entire side of the hole. There are also two bunkers in the center of the fairway.

Key Decisions

Volunteers of America Classic Key Decision

The key decision players face on the 17th hole is whether to go for the green in two shots or lay-up short of the bunkers and have a full wedge into the green.

Insight

Volunteers of America Classic Insight

Players must take advantage of this hole, with 172 birdies compared to 29 bogeys  throughout the week in 2019. Being aggressive should pay off for players going for the green, as long as there is no head wind.

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Oct 19 - 22, 2023

BMW Ladies Championship

Oct 19 - 22, 2023

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Calculated Risk
Safety Zone
Risk Zone
Hole 15
Par 5
Yardage 450
  • About the Hole
  • Key Decisions
  • Insight

About the Hole

About the BMW Ladies Championship

A new hole to the Aon Risk Reward Challenge in 2022, the 15th hole at Oak Valley Country Club should provide plenty of birdie opportunities for the world’s best.

Key Decisions

BMW Ladies Championship Key Decision

Off the tee, the player must decide what club to hit in order to find the fairway and reach the green in two. A well-placed tee shot should provide nearly every player with an opportunity, but a narrow fairway that angles left, lined with bunkers, makes this no easy task.

Insight

BMW Ladies Championship Insight

95% of players who find the fairway with their drives are expected to go for the green in two. Even players who find the rough here have an expected scoring average of more than a half-a-stroke under par.

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Nov 2 - 5, 2023

TOTO Japan Classic

Nov 2 - 5, 2023

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Calculated Risk
Safety Zone
Risk Zone
Hole 13
Par 5
Yardage 476
  • About the Hole
  • Key Decisions
  • Insight

About the Hole

About the TOTO Japan Classic

Standing on the 13th hole, players will need to miss the bunkers on the right to have a chance at reaching this uphill green in two. However, the green is guarded by a series of bunkers in front, forcing players to execute a precise second shot.

Key Decisions

TOTO Japan Classic Key Decision

Off the tee, most players will have the opportunity to go for the green in two from either the fairway or the rough. Finding the fairway bunkers will require a pitch out or layup, but the player’s decision-making will be tested when deciding whether to go for the green or layup short of the greenside bunkers.

Insight

TOTO Japan Classic Insight

More than 69% of the field is expected to go for the green in two shots, with a success rate above 25%.

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Nov 9 - 12, 2023

The ANNIKA driven by Gainbridge at Pelican

Nov 9 - 12, 2023

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Calculated Risk
Safety Zone
Risk Zone
Hole 14
Par 5
Yardage 529
  • About the Hole
  • Key Decisions
  • Insight

About the Hole

About the Pelican Women's Championship

One of only two par-5’s on the course, accuracy and distance pay dividends on the par-5, 14th hole. Bunkers in the landing zone require players to be precise with their tee shot, while a bunker protecting the front of the green may deter some players from taking on the green in two.

Key Decisions

Pelican Women's Championship Key Decision

Off the tee, the decision players face involves navigating around the fairway bunkers. Players who can hit drive accurately will have the opportunity to reach the green in two, while players who layup will be forced to play as a three-shot hole.

Insight

Pelican Women's Championship Insight

Players who find the fairway are twice as likely to go for the green than those who find the rough. Also, players that eclipse the 260-yard mark off the tee are expected to go for the green 60% of the time, compared to the field average of 27%.

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Upcoming Risk Reward Holes

Par 5 15

JM Eagle LA Championship presented by Plastpro - Wilshire Country Club

The 15th hole at Wilshire Country Club can play as two completely different holes depending on the setup. Bunkers lining both sides of the fairway will limit the field’s chances to go for the green, but finding the fairway is critical to gaining strokes on the field.

Par 5 12

Cognizant Founders Cup – Upper Montclair Country Club

Known as a great risk, reward hole, the par-5, 12th hole saw almost 60% of the field going for the green last year. With no bunkers or hazards off the tee, water looms in front of the green, forcing players to decide what to do with their second shot.

Par 4 16

Mizuho Americas Open – Liberty National Golf Club

Playing as a drivable par-4 on the back nine, the 16th hole will test players’ decision-making off the tee. With bunkers and water on the right-hand side, this risk-reward hole will force players to execute regardless of strategy to try and secure a birdie on the back nine.




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